Killing Khamenei? Hitting military sites? It is unclear what a US attack on Iran would achieve | Dan Sabbagh

US Military Buildup in the Middle East Raises Questions About Effectiveness of Attack on Iran

The United States has significantly bolstered its military presence in the Middle East, with a carrier group led by the USS Abraham Lincoln arriving in the Indian Ocean, accompanied by three destroyers equipped with long-range missiles. The deployment includes fighter jets and electronic warfare aircraft that would be capable of suppressing Iranian air defenses.

However, analysts question whether such an attack on Iran's regime would achieve its intended objectives. One possible target is Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, but many experts believe that a successful operation to capture or kill him would be extremely difficult, if not impossible. The US would need "exquisite intelligence from the inside" - as seen in the successful seizure of Venezuelan President NicolΓ‘s Maduro - which may not exist.

Experts argue that targeting other key Iranian military sites might not significantly degrade the regime's capabilities and stability. In fact, many believe that such an attack could escalate tensions even further and lead to a wider conflict.

In June last year, Israeli jets were able to fly over much of Iran without suffering losses, paving the way for US bombing raids on enemy targets. However, an Iranian counterattack is highly likely, with estimates suggesting that 2,000 ballistic missiles are stored in underground "missile cities".

A US attack on Iranian military bases in the Gulf could also lead to international escalation, drawing in Gulf states and their allies into the conflict. The risk of mining the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial shipping route, is another possibility for Iran.

In conclusion, while the US has significantly increased its military capabilities in the Middle East, it remains uncertain what an attack on Iran would achieve. Any US operation would likely be met with a fierce Iranian counterattack, and the consequences could be far-reaching and unpredictable.
 
I'm getting super anxious about this news 🀯, think they're gonna just swoop in and start attacking Iran without thinking about the consequences? 😬 Like, what even is the plan here? They're talking about targeting Ayatollah Khamenei like he's some kinda super easy target πŸ™„. Newsflash: Iran is not Venezuela πŸ˜‚. They've got a highly trained military and a leader who's not just gonna get taken down without a fight.

And have you seen those missile cities they're talking about? πŸ’£ 2,000 ballistic missiles just waiting to be launched. It's like, what even is the point of all this aggression? πŸ€” We need to take a step back and think about the real issues here, not just military power and stuff. Can't we try to find some way to resolve conflicts peacefully for once? 😩
 
idk about this... like, i was just thinking about my new phone and how much i paid for it πŸ˜‚ and now we're talking about some super serious stuff? but seriously tho, what's up with the middle east? its all so complicated 🀯 and whats with these missile cities? cant they just talk to each other like, you know, peacefully? πŸ™ and what would happen if they did attack iran? would it even make a difference? i feel like we're not getting enough info about what would happen after the attack πŸ€”
 
I'm low-key worried about this US buildup in the Middle East πŸ€”. It's like they're setting up for a giant game of Risk, but instead of countries, it's entire nations that are at stake πŸ’Έ. I don't know about the effectiveness of an attack on Iran, but I do think we should be talking about the human cost of such an operation - families torn apart, innocent civilians caught in the crossfire πŸ’”.

And what about the long-term implications? Will this just create a bigger power vacuum that more extremist groups can fill? πŸ€– It's all so complicated and unpredictable. I guess what I'm trying to say is that we should be thinking about these things before they become a reality - like, way before the USS Abraham Lincoln even sets sail ⏰.
 
idk about this us military buildup in the middle east πŸ€”... like if they're trying to hit iran's regime, but even if they get ayatollah khamenei, is it gonna make a diff? 😐 i mean, we all know how hard it is to get that kinda intel lol... and what about those 2000+ ballistic missiles stored in "missile cities"? πŸš€ that's like, asking for trouble if they go in for a bombing raid. 🀯 also, think about the strait of hormuz thingy... that's like, super strategic πŸ’‘... is it worth risking all that for just a possible regime change? πŸ˜…
 
I mean, think about it... If they're sending a whole carrier group to the Indian Ocean, that's like, a major show of force, but is it really needed? I'm not saying Iran isn't a threat or anything, but can we just have a calm and rational discussion about this instead of escalating tensions?

And let's be real, who are they gonna target in Iran? The Supreme Leader? Good luck with that. It's like trying to find a needle in a haystack. And what if it doesn't work? They'll just retaliate and things get messy.

I'm not saying the US shouldn't take action if there's a legitimate threat, but let's at least think this through before we start shooting. What are they really trying to achieve here? Is it just a case of "we need to show our might" or is there something more going on?

It's all very complicated... πŸ€”
 
omg u guys this is getting crazy!! 🀯 I'm low-key worried about another war in the middle east rn πŸ’” like what's the point of even attacking iran? they're just gonna counterattack and make things worse 🚨 we need to think about the consequences here, not just send troops over there without a plan πŸ’‘ also those 2000 ballistic missiles stored underground? 😱 that's like asking for trouble! let's try to talk this out instead of jumping into something we can't control 🀝
 
I'm getting some serious FOMO about this whole situation 🀯. The thought of another global conflict is like, totally exhausting. Can we just focus on making the world a better place for all of us instead? πŸ’– I mean, think about it, Iran has got its own problems and stuff, can't we just try to resolve them peacefully? πŸ™ It's not that hard, right? And what's with the whole "exquisite intelligence from the inside" thing? That sounds like something out of a spy novel 🀫. Can't they just talk to someone who knows something instead of risking lives and stuff? 😬
 
idk why they're building up troops there... πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ looks like another arms race to me. 70% of US defense budget goes towards Asia-Pacific region, but Middle East gets most attention πŸš€. did you know that 2020 was the worst year for conflict deaths in 30 years? maybe we should focus on peace efforts instead πŸ’¬.

avg person in the US is unaware of Iran's military capabilities - they don't even know what's stored in those "missile cities" 🀯. 2,000 missiles stored underground? That's a lot! 🚨 what if it was China or Russia instead of Iran? πŸ€”

stats say that 70% of US troops are in the Middle East but only 30% of them have combat experience πŸ’₯. meanwhile, some other countries like India and Japan are quietly building their own militaries πŸ™ƒ.

let's look at the big picture here... what's the real goal? Is it to "regime change"? πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ or just to assert dominance? 🚫
 
idk why they're sending in so many planes & ships to Iran lol πŸ˜‚ think about it if 2000 missiles are hidden underground where's gonna hit all of them? and whats the point of targeting Ayatollah Khamenei he's like a headless chicken anyway πŸ™ƒ its gonna escalate tensions even more
 
πŸ€” I'm thinking about this deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln... if they're gonna target Ayatollah Khamenei, do they even know his schedule? Like, when's he leaving for some event or meeting? That "exquisite intel" would be super useful to get accurate on that πŸ•°οΈ. And what if they just blow up a random Iranian military site and not the actual HQ with Khamenei in it? Would that really make a difference? Plus, what about those 2,000 ballistic missiles stored underground? That's a whole lotta retaliation potential 😬.
 
πŸ€” THIS THING IS GETTING CRAZY!!! SO THE USA IS TALKING ABOUT ATTACKING IRAN WITH A BUNCH OF FIGHTER JETS AND MISSILE CRAFT... BUT LIKE, WHAT'S THE POINT, RIGHT? THEY'RE NOT EVEN SURE IF THEY CAN CAPTURE OR KILL THE SUPREME LEADER!!! IT'S LIKE THEY'RE PLAYING A GAME OF MILITARY CHESS WITHOUT CHECKING THEIR MOVES FIRST 🦜

AND THEN THERE'S THE PART WHERE THEY MENTION THAT AN IRANIAN COUNTERATTACK IS HIGHLY LIKELY... LIKE, 2,000 BALISTIC MISSILES JUST WAITING TO BE LAUNCHED AT SOME GULF STATE OR OTHER πŸ’₯ WHOA! AND DON'T EVEN GET ME STARTED ON THE STRAIT OF HOROMUZ... IF IRAN MINE IT, IT COULD TAKE DOWN A LOT OF SHIPMENT 🚒

ANYWAY, I JUST THINK THIS WHOLE THING IS OVERHYPED... ARE THEY REALLY SERIOUSLY THINKING THAT AN ATTACK ON IRAN WOULD BE A GOOD IDEA? πŸ€·β€β™€οΈ
 
idk about this... πŸ€” it's like they're trying to create more problems than they've solved already 😬 think about it, if you wanna take down Iran, just get that info from inside 🀫 not sure how easy that is gonna be... πŸ’₯ even if they did manage to hit their targets, what's the plan after that? just keep bombing till someone gives in? πŸ’Έ that's a recipe for disaster πŸŒͺ️
 
I'm telling you, something's not adding up here πŸ€”. The US is setting up this massive military presence in the Middle East, but what are they really planning to do? It's like they're trying to provoke a reaction from Iran ⚠️. I mean, have you seen those 2,000 ballistic missiles just waiting to be launched? That's not something to be taken lightly! 🀯 And what about all the talk of targeting Supreme Leader Khamenei? Sounds like a classic setup for a false flag operation 😳 to me. We need to keep a close eye on this one, folks... it's getting suspicious πŸ”.
 
I'm not sure why the US is doin' this... like, they gotta have some good reason, right? πŸ€” I mean, it's not like we don't already know Iran's got some crazy missiles stored under ground... 2,000 of 'em?! That's wild! 🀯 If they're gonna take out their air defences, they're just askin' for trouble. And what's the point of even tryin' to catch Ayatollah Khamenei? He's like a ghost, man! πŸ’€ It'd be better if they just targeted some other key sites and hoped for the best... but I guess that's not exactly how this whole thing works, right? πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ Anyway, it's all pretty scary. Like, what if this goes wrong? 😬
 
I'M TOTALLY GETTING WORRIED ABOUT THIS SITUATION!!! 🀯 WHAT IF THE US ATTEMPT TO ATTACK IRAN AND IT JUST ENDS UP CAUSING MORE HARM THAN GOOD?! πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ THEY'RE THINKING ABOUT TARGETING SUPREME LEADER AYATOLLAH ALI KHAMENEI, BUT HOW CAN THEY EVEN GET CLOSE TO HIM WITHOUT BEING KILLED FIRST?! 😱 AND WHAT ABOUT ALL THE BALLISTIC MISSILES IRAN HAS STASHED AWAY? πŸš€ IT'S LIKE THEY'RE PLAYING WITH FIRE HERE!!! πŸ”₯
 
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